Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000045 0.000050 0.000054 0.000059 0.000065 0.000071 0.000078
2025-11-23 0.000040 0.000046 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000080 0.000093
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000043 0.000050 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000103
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000086 0.000108
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000035 0.000043 0.000054 0.000068 0.000086 0.000111
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000067 0.000087 0.000115
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000066 0.000087 0.000118
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000048 0.000064 0.000086 0.000120
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000125
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000067 0.000094 0.000137
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000058 0.000082 0.000119 0.000179
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000056 0.000081 0.000119 0.000182
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000054 0.000080 0.000119 0.000187
2026-02-15 0.000019 0.000026 0.000037 0.000055 0.000083 0.000127 0.000206
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000025 0.000036 0.000054 0.000083 0.000131 0.000218
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000024 0.000034 0.000052 0.000081 0.000129 0.000220
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000050 0.000079 0.000128 0.000222
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000048 0.000077 0.000127 0.000226
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000046 0.000075 0.000125 0.000227
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000073 0.000124 0.000228
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000043 0.000073 0.000126 0.000238
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000018 0.000027 0.000044 0.000076 0.000134 0.000260
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032 0.000053 0.000093 0.000171 0.000349